Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.143179 0.167579 0.194419 0.226070 0.262308 0.302434 0.350160
2026-02-01 0.099965 0.132018 0.171159 0.222166 0.286541 0.364714 0.466418
2026-02-08 0.076088 0.110170 0.155198 0.218380 0.303967 0.414976 0.568792
2026-02-15 0.058925 0.092328 0.139510 0.209946 0.311101 0.449539 0.651344
2026-02-22 0.051980 0.086995 0.139272 0.221373 0.344987 0.521586 0.789586
2026-03-01 0.042539 0.075938 0.128560 0.215330 0.351984 0.555277 0.875611
2026-03-08 0.034818 0.066098 0.117956 0.207460 0.354428 0.581359 0.951426
2026-03-15 0.029238 0.058807 0.110213 0.202764 0.360656 0.612846 1.037042
2026-03-22 0.026026 0.055142 0.107959 0.206682 0.380864 0.667420 1.162568
2026-03-29 0.024001 0.053335 0.108646 0.215587 0.410054 0.738520 1.319788
2026-04-05 0.021649 0.050459 0.106912 0.219774 0.431171 0.797528 1.461029
2026-04-12 0.019234 0.047019 0.103588 0.220475 0.445861 0.846367 1.588185
2026-04-19 0.016970 0.043569 0.099884 0.220207 0.459109 0.894425 1.718986
2026-04-26 0.014774 0.039881 0.095191 0.217426 0.467344 0.934265 1.838554
2026-05-03 0.012829 0.036402 0.090414 0.213806 0.473406 0.970325 1.953568
2026-05-10 0.010837 0.032400 0.083867 0.205541 0.469152 0.986392 2.032379
2026-05-17 0.010379 0.032269 0.086135 0.216751 0.505917 1.083679 2.270776
2026-05-24 0.008944 0.029220 0.081063 0.210823 0.505911 1.108884 2.372284
2026-05-31 0.007617 0.026182 0.075537 0.203103 0.501141 1.123965 2.454679
2026-06-07 0.006623 0.023895 0.071549 0.198496 0.502689 1.151812 2.564075
2026-06-14 0.006115 0.022993 0.071041 0.202339 0.523690 1.221483 2.762648
2026-06-21 0.005845 0.022800 0.072420 0.211076 0.556772 1.318905 3.024293
2026-06-28 0.005422 0.022008 0.072022 0.215183 0.579261 1.395033 3.246008